Update shared on01 Aug 2025
Fair value Decreased 1.05%Calumet’s fair value estimate was marginally reduced as analysts now expect markedly slower revenue growth and a higher future P/E, signaling a more cautious outlook on earnings growth.
What's in the News
- Calumet, Inc. was added to multiple Russell indices, including Russell 2000, 2500, 3000, and associated growth and value benchmarks.
- Reported Q1 2025 total facility production of 76,943 bpd, up from 70,801 bpd a year ago.
- Announced an accelerated and cost-effective SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) expansion, aiming to increase capacity to 120–150 million gallons by Q2 2026 for $20–30 million.
- The SAF expansion utilizes process improvements and debottlenecking, leveraging operational learnings to avoid major new equipment installation.
- Company maintains its ultimate goal to produce up to 300 million gallons of SAF by 2028.
Valuation Changes
Summary of Valuation Changes for Calumet
- The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from $19.00 to $18.80.
- The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Calumet has significantly fallen from 2.8% per annum to 1.1% per annum.
- The Future P/E for Calumet has significantly risen from 51.64x to 71.53x.
Disclaimer
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