Chord Energy's analyst price target has declined slightly from approximately $133 to $130 per share. Analysts cite lower expected cash flows, modestly weaker profit margins, and ongoing commodity headwinds as reasons for this adjustment.

Analyst Commentary

Recent Street research presents a spectrum of perspectives on Chord Energy's fundamentals and outlook. While price targets have been both raised and lowered in the past months, analysts continue to weigh the company's operational execution, valuation, and long-term growth potential.

• Some analysts highlight Chord Energy's strong balance sheet and robust cash flow generation. These characteristics underpin shareholder returns and support continued operations in a volatile commodity environment.
• There is optimism regarding ongoing Bakken consolidation efforts. Recent acquisitions are viewed as strategically accretive and are considered likely to enhance long-term capital efficiency.
• Bullish voices point to Chord's compelling valuation, noting an in-line multiple, a small premium to proved developed value, and growth prospects in underdeveloped regions.
• Low leverage is seen as a key advantage. This provides the flexibility to pursue further consolidation opportunities and respond nimbly to market developments.

• Bears remain cautious about weaker gas and NGL realizations, which could lead to cash flows coming in below consensus expectations in the near term.
• Concerns persist over Chord's inventory length, with some analysts citing limited visibility into the company’s longer-term growth pipeline.
• Commodity headwinds continue to dampen near-term upside potential, constraining improvements in valuation despite recent strategic moves.
• Profit margin pressures and modestly weaker operational updates have prompted some analysts to revise price targets downward, reflecting more tempered expectations for future performance.

What's in the News

• The company issued new production guidance for Q3, Q4, and fiscal year 2025, outlining expected ranges for oil, NGL, and natural gas volumes (Key Developments).
• Q2 2025 production results were reported: oil volumes reached 156.7 MBopd, NGLs were at 54.1 MBblpd, natural gas volumes totaled 425.9 MMcfpd, and overall production was 281.9 MBoepd (Key Developments).
• The company announced a share repurchase program authorizing up to $1 billion in common share repurchases (Key Developments).
• Buyback activity from April to August 2025 was disclosed, with 1,029,523 shares repurchased for $100.2 million and a total of 3,024,019 shares repurchased since November 2024 (Key Developments).
• The Board of Directors authorized a new buyback plan in August 2025 (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

• The Fair Value Estimate has decreased slightly from $132.59 to $129.82 per share.
• The Discount Rate remains stable, showing a negligible change from 6.93% to 6.93%.
• Revenue Growth projections have declined further, shifting from -3.04% to -3.37%.
• The Net Profit Margin has fallen, moving from 11.80% to 10.86%.
• The Future P/E Ratio has increased from 14.26x to 15.32x, which reflects expectations of weaker earnings or higher valuation multiples.