Update shared on 18 Oct 2025
Fair value Increased 2.23%New Advisor Hires And AI Will Shape Future Success
Raymond James Financial's analyst price target has been raised from $175.83 to $179.75, as analysts cite improved market sentiment, resilient trading activity, and stronger asset flows that support the company's outlook.
Analyst Commentary
Recent analyst updates on Raymond James Financial present a nuanced outlook, highlighting both areas of strength and potential challenges for the company. The commentary reflects evolving industry dynamics, valuation considerations, and the company's execution on growth strategies.
Bullish Takeaways
- Bullish analysts highlight a surge in capital markets and FinTech stocks. This suggests Raymond James benefits from broad market rebounds and firm institutional trading activity.
- Stronger asset and wealth management flows, together with higher market levels, are viewed as contributing to the company’s improved performance metrics.
- The disciplined approach to advisor recruitment is seen as supporting earnings quality and consistency. This may aid long-term valuation stability.
- Model updates to reflect higher assets under management indicate confidence in the company’s ability to capitalize on recent stock rallies and expanding client assets.
Bearish Takeaways
- Bearish analysts caution that valuations appear stretched, with Raymond James trading at multi-year highs. This may limit upside in the near term.
- There is concern about slower growth relative to competitors, attributed to the company's cautious expansion strategy.
- Some analysts point out that the lack of a clear growth catalyst, coupled with an expensive entry point and prospects for lower interest rates, could weigh on future performance.
- High expectations for quarterly results raise the risk that any underperformance or weaker guidance could impact investor sentiment and share price momentum.
What's in the News
- First National Bank of Sparta (FNBS) selected Raymond James Financial Institutions Division (FID) to support its investment program, Patton Wealth Management (PWM). This brings $261 million in client assets under management. (Client Announcements)
- Raymond James Financial is actively seeking acquisition opportunities to drive growth. The company is focusing on targets that offer a strong cultural and strategic fit and attractive returns for shareholders. (Seeking Acquisitions/Investments)
- The company repurchased 3,286,433 shares valued at $451.46 million between April and June 2025. This completes the current buyback program with a total of 5,311,996 shares repurchased for $751.6 million. (Buyback Tranche Update)
Valuation Changes
- Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly, moving from $175.83 to $179.75.
- Discount Rate decreased marginally, from 8.44% to 8.39%.
- Revenue Growth estimate increased slightly, rising from 7.98% to 8.03%.
- Net Profit Margin edged down modestly, shifting from 15.68% to 15.66%.
- Future P/E ratio estimate has moved up from 15.34x to 15.66x.
Disclaimer
AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
