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MS: Share Repurchases And Credit Costs Will Support Stable Outlook

Digital Platforms Will Expand Advisory Reach Amid Ongoing Buyback Initiatives

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MS
AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 06 Aug 2024

Update shared on 07 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 0.82%
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Narrative Update

Analysts have raised their price target on Morgan Stanley by about 1 dollar to approximately 170 dollars. This change reflects slightly higher expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future earnings multiples.

What's in the News

  • MUFG Securities EMEA plc was added as co lead underwriter for Morgan Stanley's €150 million fixed income offering, potentially broadening distribution and investor demand (Key Developments).
  • Morgan Stanley reported third quarter 2025 net charge offs on loans and lending commitments of 63 million dollars, highlighting modest credit costs in the current environment (Key Developments).
  • Under the share repurchase program announced June 28, 2024, the firm bought back about 7.44 million shares in the third quarter of 2025 for approximately 1.08 billion dollars, bringing total repurchases under that plan to nearly 36.94 million shares and 4.59 billion dollars (Key Developments).
  • A separate buyback tranche announced July 1, 2025 recorded no share repurchases through September 30, 2025, indicating that authorization remains unused in that program (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • The fair value estimate has risen slightly from 168.15 dollars to approximately 169.52 dollars, reflecting a modest upward revision in intrinsic value.
  • The discount rate has increased marginally from about 9.73 percent to roughly 9.81 percent, implying a slightly higher required return on equity.
  • Revenue growth has edged up from around 5.28 percent to approximately 5.31 percent, indicating a small improvement in long term growth expectations.
  • Net profit margin has increased slightly from about 22.74 percent to roughly 22.76 percent, suggesting a minor enhancement in projected profitability.
  • The future P/E has risen modestly from roughly 18.56 times to about 18.73 times, signaling a small increase in the valuation multiple applied to forward earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.