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GS: Future Returns Will Reflect Improved Profitability And Balanced Expansion Plans

Update shared on 13 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 10%
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AnalystHighTarget's Fair Value
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Analysts have raised their price target for Goldman Sachs Group from $815 to $900 per share, reflecting expectations for slightly slower revenue growth, improved long term profitability, and a higher justified valuation multiple.

What's in the News

  • Secured exclusive rights to negotiate the purchase of Restaurant Brands International’s Burger King operations in Japan in a potential deal valued at around ¥70 billion ($452 million), signaling a push into franchise backed food assets in Asia (Nikkei Asia)
  • Repurchased 2,783,143 shares for roughly $2.0 billion in the quarter ended September 30, 2025, completing a $5.0 billion buyback totaling 8,096,675 shares, or about 2.53% of shares outstanding, under the April 14, 2025 authorization
  • Goldman Sachs Asset Management is in late stage talks to acquire a controlling stake in Excel Sports Management at a valuation of about $1 billion, expanding its exposure to sports and entertainment related assets (Financial Times, via Reuters)
  • Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC and InspereX LLC have been added as co lead underwriters on multiple fixed income offerings totaling roughly $29 million, underscoring the firm’s continued role in debt capital markets

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate: increased from $815 to $900 per share, reflecting a modestly higher intrinsic valuation.
  • Discount Rate: raised significantly from 9.73% to 12.50%, indicating a higher required return and risk adjustment.
  • Revenue Growth Assumption: reduced slightly from 8.14% to 7.91% annually, incorporating more conservative top line expectations.
  • Net Profit Margin: increased modestly from 29.45% to 30.76%, reflecting expectations for improved long term profitability.
  • Future P/E Multiple: raised from 14.83x to 16.19x, implying a higher justified valuation multiple on forward earnings.

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