Update shared on04 Sep 2025
Analysts remain divided on Global Payments, with some citing activist investor involvement and attractive valuation as upside catalysts while others maintain caution ahead of Q2 results, resulting in the consensus analyst price target remaining unchanged at $103.18.
Analyst Commentary
- Bullish analysts cite the recent sizable stake taken by activist investor Elliot Management as a key catalyst offering substantial upside, given Global Payments' status as one of the cheapest stocks in the S&P 500.
- Valuation uplift is expected if Global Payments trades at or near integrated payments sector median multiples.
- The anticipated solid earnings performance for the fintech sector, alongside recent underperformance, provides a favorable setup for price appreciation.
- Some analysts point to continued "stability amid uncertainty" in Global Payments' upcoming results as supporting a neutral or Hold stance.
- Corrections and downgrades reflect cautious sentiment ahead of Q2 results, with certain firms remaining neutral despite sector trends.
What's in the News
- Elliott Management has built a significant stake in Global Payments following its $24.2B acquisition of Worldpay, leading to a 6% pop in Global Payments' shares despite the activist fund's demands and stake size remaining undisclosed (Financial Times).
- Global Payments announced new multi-year partnerships as the payments provider for the NHL's Tampa Bay Lightning and MLB's Minnesota Twins, and renewed existing relationships with the Dallas Cowboys, reinforcing its leadership in high-traffic sports venues (Key Developments).
- The company and Banco Nacional de Mexico (Banamex) renewed and expanded their strategic alliance, furthering Global Payments' presence in the Mexican acquiring and banking services market via the EVO Payments platform (Key Developments).
- Global Payments reaffirmed 2025 guidance, projecting GAAP revenue growth of 0.5%-1.5% but guiding for a GAAP diluted loss per share of 14.5%-15.5% for the year (Key Developments).
- The company repurchased 3,043,484 shares ($229M) from April to June 2025, taking total buybacks since 2014 to 36.45% of outstanding shares valued at $9.1B, and launched its new Genius for Retail POS solution targeting small- and medium-sized businesses in the US (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
Summary of Valuation Changes for Global Payments
- The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, at $103.18.
- The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Global Payments remained effectively unchanged, at 7.0% per annum.
- The Future P/E for Global Payments remained effectively unchanged, at 16.57x.
Disclaimer
AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.