Loading...
Back to narrative

Update shared on25 Sep 2025

Fair value Decreased 2.43%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$442.38
23.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
25 Sep
US$340.60
Loading
1Y
46.4%
7D
1.1%

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for LPL Financial Holdings to $442.38, as integration of Commonwealth Financial Network and near-term growth concerns temper catalysts despite strong recent earnings and supportive macro drivers.


Analyst Commentary


  • Bullish analysts see potential for multiple re-rating and upside as LPL Financial integrates Commonwealth Financial Network, with earnings dilution and asset growth slowdowns seen as already priced in.
  • Recent Q2 earnings beat, despite lower client cash balances, supports increased price targets and positive sentiment among several analysts.
  • Some downward revisions and Neutral/Hold ratings reflect concerns over the company's de-emphasis on near-term growth during Commonwealth integration, leading to fewer share catalysts in the next 12-18 months.
  • Interest rates, credit franchise strength, and expectations of supportive macro conditions (inflation, tariffs, credit volumes) are viewed as positive drivers by bullish analysts.
  • Bearish analysts note that consensus growth estimates may be too high in the near term, and absence of accelerating asset flows limits probability of share re-rating.

What's in the News


  • BofA raised its price target on LPL Financial to $469 from $453 and reiterated a Buy rating, reflecting updated models post-Q2 earnings (Periodicals).
  • First Horizon Bank transitioned approximately $12 billion in broker and advisory assets to LPL Financial's institution services platform in August 2025, with more assets expected to onboard in the coming months (Key Developments).
  • No shares were repurchased by LPL Financial from April 1 to June 30, 2025; total buyback under the program remains at 36.4 million shares for $3.28 billion since 2014 (Key Developments).
  • LPL Financial was dropped from the Russell 1000 Defensive Index as of June 28, 2025 (Key Developments).
  • LPL Financial was also removed from the Russell 1000 Growth-Defensive Index on the same date (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for LPL Financial Holdings

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen slightly from $453.42 to $442.38.
  • The Future P/E for LPL Financial Holdings has fallen from 29.89x to 28.11x.
  • The Net Profit Margin for LPL Financial Holdings has risen from 8.45% to 8.92%.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.