Update shared on03 Oct 2025
Fair value Decreased 21%Analysts have lowered their price target for Genius Group from $4.30 to $3.40 per share. They cite updated models with higher revenue growth forecasts, but a reduced fair value based on revised future profitability and risk assessments.
What's in the News
- Genius Group has entered two binding agreements with Nuanu to develop its Genius City model at Nuanu Creative City. The company will acquire 51% ownership in Nuanu’s early learning, primary and middle schools, as well as 51% ownership of Nuanu’s integrated living district that includes co-working, retreats, conferences, and workshops. Genius City is set to become the first Bitcoin-based, tokenized community in Asia. Genius Group will invest $7.1 million and raise additional funds for development costs (Key Developments).
- Genius Group Limited has provided an update on its appeal with the United States Court of Appeals concerning a preliminary injunction in aid of arbitration previously imposed by the Southern District Court of New York. LZG International, a party to the original injunction, is now in default, and filing deadlines have been updated for all parties through August 2025 (Key Developments).
- Genius Group commenced a share repurchase program on July 9, 2025, following shareholder approval. The company is authorized to repurchase up to 20% of its issued Class A Ordinary share capital to preserve shareholder value, with repurchases executed through the CEO (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value: Lowered from $4.30 per share to $3.40 per share. This reflects a notable decrease in estimated company value.
- Discount Rate: Decreased slightly from 7.07% to 6.87%, indicating a marginally lower perceived risk in future cash flows.
- Revenue Growth: The forecast has been revised sharply upward from 54.87% to 114.96%, suggesting expectations of much higher sales expansion.
- Net Profit Margin: Remained nearly stable, adjusting marginally from 11.68% to 11.64%.
- Future P/E: Dropped significantly from 132.16x to 26.23x. This signals a much lower valuation multiple applied to future earnings.
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