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YUMC: Aggressive Share Buybacks Will Drive Future Shareholder Value

Update shared on 22 Nov 2025

Fair value Decreased 0.086%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
2.0%
7D
4.0%

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Yum China Holdings from $57.99 to $57.94, citing adjustments to growth and risk assumptions in their updated models.

What's in the News

  • Yum China Holdings, Inc. held its Analyst/Investor Day and provided updates to investors and analysts. (Key Developments)
  • Between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, the company repurchased 7,173,043 shares, representing 1.92% of outstanding shares for $326 million. (Key Developments)
  • As of this tranche, Yum China Holdings has completed the repurchase of 89,162,739 shares, totaling 22.53% of shares for $3,790.95 million under its longstanding buyback program announced in 2017. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased marginally, moving from $57.99 to $57.94 per share.
  • Discount Rate has risen slightly from 9.09% to 9.15%, reflecting a modest increase in perceived risk.
  • Revenue Growth assumptions have fallen significantly, dropping from 7.53% to 6.22%.
  • Net Profit Margin expectations have increased, now at 8.94% compared to the previous estimate of 8.70%.
  • Future P/E ratio has risen, going from 19.07x to 20.91x. This suggests a higher valuation multiple for expected earnings.

Disclaimer

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