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SG: New Openings and CFO Transition Will Shape 2025 Performance Outlook

Update shared on 05 Nov 2025

Fair value Decreased 7.41%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-85.4%
7D
-8.1%

Analysts have revised their price target for Sweetgreen downward from $12.38 to $11.46. They cite slightly softer revenue growth expectations and a modestly lower fair value estimate as reasons for the change.

What's in the News

  • Sweetgreen unveiled its Late Fall Menu, featuring new dishes centered on roasted garlic parmesan cauliflower, available nationwide through December 28. (Product-Related Announcements)
  • The company partnered with Katz's Delicatessen for a one-day pop-up event at its new Lower East Side, NYC location, offering the exclusive LES Pastrami Salad and collectible merchandise. (Business Expansions)
  • Sweetgreen debuted in Arizona with two new locations, marking its first entry into the state and continuing its national growth. (Business Expansions)
  • Mitch Reback, longtime CFO, announced his retirement. Jamie McConnell, who brings two decades of finance leadership including experience at Chipotle, will succeed him. (Executive Changes, CFO)
  • For 2025, Sweetgreen forecasts at least 40 new restaurant openings, 20 with the Infinite Kitchen, and projects revenue between $700 million and $715 million. Same-store sales are expected to decrease by 4% to 6%. (Corporate Guidance, New/Confirmed)

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate, previously $12.38, has declined to $11.46.
  • The Discount Rate decreased slightly from 9.36% to 9.34%.
  • Revenue Growth Expectations dipped marginally from 14.22% to 14.06%.
  • The Net Profit Margin estimate increased from 8.15% to 8.20%.
  • The Future P/E Ratio dropped from 24.46x to 22.60x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.