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Update shared on21 Jul 2025

Fair value Increased 15%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$351.65
0.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
04 Sep
US$352.27
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1Y
125.0%
7D
-3.0%

Driven by sustained demand strength, improved pricing power, and positive yield momentum—offset by some near-term caution after a broad sector rally—Royal Caribbean Cruises’ consensus analyst price target has been raised materially from $265.37 to $306.43.


Analyst Commentary


  • Bullish analysts highlight strong forward demand and improved pricing power, driving upward EPS estimates for the long term.
  • Incremental optionality from new land-based projects is seen as a potential catalyst for valuation expansion.
  • Upward price targets are supported by yield estimates moving higher, reinforced by foreign exchange tailwinds and resilience in recent sector performance.
  • Sector web traffic and pricing data indicate sequential improvement and stability, with most cruise capacity booked through 2025, reinforcing pricing discipline.
  • Some analysts caution about a less-than-ideal tactical setup due to a sector-wide rally and anticipate an uneven quarterly cadence in H2, prompting a nuanced near-term outlook.

What's in the News


  • Royal Caribbean completed construction and took delivery of Star of the Seas, its next Icon Class ship, which will debut in August from Port Canaveral and features advanced amenities, entertainment, and sustainability initiatives including LNG propulsion and waste heat recovery.
  • Star of the Seas will offer innovative dining options and entertainment experiences, including Broadway’s “Back to the Future: The Musical,” multiple signature shows, and a variety of themed eateries and nightlife experiences.
  • Multiple Royal Caribbean securities were dropped from several Russell Value indexes, including the Russell 1000, 3000, Midcap, and 3000E Value benchmarks and indices.
  • The company repurchased 1,008,055 shares (0.37% of outstanding) for $229.8 million, completing its announced buyback program.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Royal Caribbean Cruises

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has significantly risen from $265.37 to $306.43.
  • The Future P/E for Royal Caribbean Cruises has significantly risen from 18.91x to 21.74x.
  • The Discount Rate for Royal Caribbean Cruises has risen slightly from 8.22% to 8.41%.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.