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FLL: Operational Improvements In Colorado Will Drive Profitability Gains Ahead

American Place Expansion And Chamonix Upgrades Will Drive Sustainable Momentum

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FLL
AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 03 Apr 2025

Update shared on 07 Nov 2025

Fair value Decreased 11%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-29.8%
7D
-6.5%

Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for Full House Resorts from $4.75 to $4.25 per share. They cited ongoing improvements in Colorado operations and adjusted expectations for future growth and profitability.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst assessments have provided insights into both the positive and cautious factors influencing Full House Resorts' valuation and outlook.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts highlight the company's outperformance in revenue and EBITDA during the recent quarter, suggesting improved execution and short-term momentum.
  • There has been a 7% increase in Colorado revenue, attributed to enhancements in property management and operational strategy.
  • Growth in the Colorado segment is viewed as a critical driver for future company-wide expansion, supporting long-term valuation prospects.
  • Ongoing operational ramp-up in key properties is expected to contribute to leverage reduction and improved financial stability as construction progresses.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts have tempered fair value estimates due to evolving expectations for growth and profitability. This suggests concerns about the sustainability of current trends.
  • Ongoing construction and leverage levels remain key risks. Execution in Colorado is seen as vital to mitigating these concerns.
  • Despite recent improvements, there is caution regarding whether positive revenue trends can be reliably maintained over several quarters.

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has decreased from $4.75 to $4.25 per share, indicating a modest downward revision.
  • The Discount Rate has risen slightly, from 12.32% to 12.5%.
  • Revenue Growth Expectations have increased, moving from 8.77% to 9.23%.
  • The Net Profit Margin is projected to improve marginally, from 8.21% to 8.32%.
  • The Future P/E Ratio has fallen from 7.92x to 6.88x, reflecting lower anticipated valuation multiples.

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Disclaimer

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