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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for KBH

Update shared on 10 Oct 2025

Fair value Decreased 2.02%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-12.9%
7D
-11.7%

Analysts have raised their average price target for KB Home by approximately $1.67 per share. This change reflects improved confidence following the company's stronger-than-expected earnings and its disciplined operating approach in a challenging housing market.

Analyst Commentary

Bullish analysts responded positively to KB Home's recent earnings report, pointing to several factors that support the company's improved valuation and growth outlook. However, some maintain a more cautious stance as certain challenges persist in the near term.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Recent upward revisions to price targets reflect improved confidence in KB Home’s execution and profitability. This underscores the success of its disciplined operating strategies.
  • Bullish analysts view the company’s willingness to implement difficult, strategic decisions in a soft housing environment as a sign of strong leadership and adaptability.
  • Evidence of a potential bottoming in the housing market, paired with strong quarterly results, bolsters the case for further upside as market conditions stabilize.
  • Cost reduction efforts and ongoing share buybacks are expected to provide earnings support. This comes even as order and revenue estimates remain modest in the near term.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts caution that, despite recent earnings outperformance, tepid housing demand continues to weigh on the company’s near-term growth prospects.
  • There is skepticism surrounding whether the current macroeconomic landscape, including recent rate cuts, will be enough to spark a material recovery in the homebuilding sector.
  • Some remain concerned that order and homebuilding revenue estimates are still being revised downward. This suggests that top-line growth may remain challenged for several quarters.

What's in the News

  • President Donald Trump called on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to spur homebuilders such as KB Home, alleging that builders are holding a record number of empty lots and urging action to address housing supply (Reuters).
  • KB Home launched the Ladera community in Menifee, California, featuring modern, customizable homes with access to parks, trails, and top schools.
  • The company introduced Canterbury and Cambridge, two new communities in Roseville, California, which provide access to family amenities, schools, parks, and a future town center.
  • KB Home celebrated the opening of Greenleaf Grove in Bothell, Washington, with two-story floor plans, walkability to parks, and access to the highly rated Northshore School District.

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has decreased slightly, moving from $66 to approximately $64.67 per share.
  • Discount Rate has risen marginally, from 9.47% to about 9.59%.
  • Revenue Growth projections remain essentially unchanged at -4.21%.
  • Net Profit Margin is now estimated at 6.61%, a modest decrease from the previous 6.76%.
  • Future P/E Ratio has edged higher from 11.59x to 11.64x.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.