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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for GRMN

Update shared on 03 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 5.87%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-5.4%
7D
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Garmin’s analyst price target has increased from $218.33 to $231.14. Analysts cite ongoing momentum in the company’s fitness and smart wearables segments, along with strong innovation and resilient demand.

Analyst Commentary

Recent updates from Street research show a divergence of opinion among analysts regarding Garmin’s near-term prospects and valuation. Price targets have moved in both directions, reflecting different views on the company’s growth, resilience, and sector trends.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts have highlighted Garmin’s accelerating revenue growth, particularly in its fitness and smart wearables segments. This is seen as a key driver behind recent price target increases.
  • There is widespread recognition of Garmin’s strong execution and innovation. These factors are viewed as positioning the company well for ongoing momentum despite broader market volatility.
  • Some analysts project a substantial total return potential from current price levels. Raised targets indicate expectations for continued share appreciation over the coming year.
  • The company’s core outdoor and fitness business lines are showing notable resilience in the face of a challenging macroeconomic backdrop.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts remain cautious about Garmin’s valuation. Some have expressed concerns that current momentum in key segments may not be sustainable through the second half of the year.
  • There are reservations regarding the ability of the core business units to maintain their level of demand and growth as broader economic conditions evolve.
  • Certain analysts continue to assign Underweight or Underperform ratings. This reflects apprehension about upside potential relative to existing market expectations.

What's in the News

  • Garmin updated its earnings guidance for the fiscal year 2025, now anticipating revenue of approximately $7.10 billion and an operating margin of 25.2%.
  • The company completed a share repurchase tranche, buying back 159,000 shares valued at $36.5 million from June to September 2025. This contributes to a total of 986,000 shares repurchased for $193.29 million since February 2024.
  • Garmin unveiled the GPSMAP 9000xsv series, high-performance chartplotters for pilots and anglers. These devices feature 10-, 13-, and 17-inch 4K touchscreen displays, advanced sonar, and gigabit networking capabilities. Expected availability is November with prices starting at $3,199.99.
  • Through a collaboration with Truemed, qualified customers can now use pre-tax HSA/FSA funds for reimbursement of purchases of select Garmin smartwatches, fitness trackers, cycling trainers, and cycling computers.
  • Garmin announced the D2 Air X15 and D2 Mach 2 aviator smartwatches with AMOLED displays, advanced avionics connectivity, voice commands, and up to 26 days of battery life. The D2 Air X15 starts at $649.99 and the D2 Mach 2 ranges up to $1,499.99.

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from $218.33 to $231.14, reflecting increased optimism about Garmin's market valuation.
  • Discount Rate climbed slightly from 7.72% to 7.73%. This suggests a marginally higher expected return requirement by analysts.
  • Revenue Growth forecast dipped from 8.16% to 7.67%. This indicates tempered expectations for future sales expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin improved from 21.39% to 21.80%. This signals expectations for higher operating profitability.
  • Future P/E ratio increased from 28.78x to 29.53x. This implies a modest uplift in anticipated earnings multiples for Garmin shares.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.