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Update shared on03 Sep 2025

Fair value Increased 2.31%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$162.60
11.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
04 Sep
US$181.80
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1Y
-2.3%
7D
7.3%

D.R. Horton's analyst price target was raised to $161.60, reflecting heightened investor optimism on rate cuts, sector-wide valuation uplift, and recent earnings outperformance.


Analyst Commentary


  • Bullish analysts cite increasing investor optimism regarding future interest rate cuts, which is boosting valuations in the homebuilding sector.
  • Generalist investors are demonstrating increased interest and conducting further due diligence on homebuilder stocks, contributing to upward price movements.
  • A sector-wide re-rating and higher valuations across homebuilders have led to adjusted, higher price targets for D.R. Horton.
  • D.R. Horton's recent quarterly results significantly outperformed consensus estimates for EPS and gross margin, sparking a positive reaction in the stock and industry peers.
  • Company guidance indicates that sales incentives in the current quarter remain within expected ranges, supporting confidence in forward earnings and margins.

What's in the News


  • Issued Q4 consolidated revenue guidance of $9.1 billion to $9.6 billion, with expected home sales gross margin between 21% and 21.5%.
  • Issued FY25 consolidated revenue guidance of $33.7 billion to $34.2 billion.
  • Completed repurchase of 8,265,453 shares (2.68% of outstanding), totaling $1.02 billion, under announced buyback.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for D.R. Horton

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from $158.93 to $161.60.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for D.R. Horton remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 6.1% per annum to 6.2% per annum.
  • The Future P/E for D.R. Horton remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 10.29x to 10.40x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.