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CCS: New Buyback and Community Launches Will Shape Measured 2025 Outlook

Update shared on 10 Nov 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-29.7%
7D
-0.7%

Narrative Update on Century Communities

Analysts have maintained their price target for Century Communities at $66.00, citing only minor adjustments to discount rate and profit margin projections that were not substantial enough to alter the fair value estimate.

What's in the News

  • Century Complete launched home sales at Kings Landing in Jacksonville's Westside, offering new single-family homes from the upper $200s with two open-concept floor plans. The location also provides convenient access to major highways. (Company announcement)
  • North Fork at Laughlin Ranch, a new gated community in Arizona, is now selling inspired single-story homes from the low $300s. The homes feature contemporary layouts and offer community amenities near golf and outdoor recreation. (Company announcement)
  • The company recently completed a $20 million share repurchase, totaling 1,731,534 shares and representing 5.67% of shares outstanding under the July 2024 buyback program. (Company announcement)
  • Century Communities narrowed full-year 2025 guidance, now projecting 10,000 to 10,250 home deliveries. Projected home sales revenue is between $3.8 billion and $3.9 billion. (Company announcement)
  • New communities have opened in multiple states, including Indiana, Florida, Texas, California, South Carolina, and Utah. Offerings range from affordable single-family homes to modern townhomes and amenity-rich neighborhoods. (Company announcement)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate remains unchanged at $66.00 per share.
  • Discount Rate has increased slightly from 9.18% to 9.43%.
  • Revenue Growth Forecast has decreased modestly from 1.57% to 1.53%.
  • Net Profit Margin projection has risen slightly from 4.42% to 4.43%.
  • Future P/E Ratio is marginally higher, moving from 10.70x to 10.78x.

Disclaimer

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