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VVX: Recent Major Contract Wins Will Drive Long-Term Earnings Stability

Update shared on 20 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 2.78%
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Analysts have raised their price target for V2X to $67.18 from $65.36. They cite stronger revenue growth projections, improved profit margins, and an enhanced earnings outlook supported by recent contract wins and robust quarterly performance.

Analyst Commentary

Recent Street research reports offer insights into factors influencing analyst price targets and perspectives on V2X's outlook. This commentary synthesizes both optimistic and cautious viewpoints among analysts regarding the company's valuation, growth prospects, and execution risks.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts highlight V2X's strong third-quarter results, emphasizing year-over-year revenue growth and robust quarterly performance.
  • Improved top-line forecasts for the upcoming fiscal year, supported by recent contract wins and minimal impacts from operational shutdowns, are expected to drive continued revenue gains.
  • Major contract awards projected for 2026 are viewed as catalysts for sustained long-term growth and stability of earnings.
  • Upward revisions to price targets reflect enhanced profitability expectations and confidence in management's execution of their growth strategy.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts maintain cautious ratings, citing the company's valuation and suggesting current price levels may reflect much of the anticipated growth.
  • Some concern remains regarding portions of future revenues that could be subject to re-compete, which may introduce execution and retention risks.
  • The uplift in price targets among less bullish analysts is attributed more to earnings model revisions rather than significant shifts in conviction.

What's in the News

  • Filed a follow-on equity offering of 2,250,000 shares of common stock. (Key Developments)
  • Raised 2025 revenue guidance to $4,425 million to $4,500 million, up from the prior range of $4,375 million to $4,500 million. (Key Developments)
  • Completed a share buyback of 200,000 shares for $10 million between June and September 2025. (Key Developments)
  • Announced a new $84 million U.S. Navy task order at Red Hill, Hawaii, extending V2X's support for establishing a reliable water supply system. (Key Developments)
  • Awarded a position on the Defense Threat Reduction Agency's $3.5 billion CTRIC IV contract, expanding V2X’s role in global threat reduction. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly, increasing from $65.36 to $67.18.
  • Discount Rate edged up from 8.69% to 8.93%, reflecting marginally higher risk or cost of capital assumptions.
  • Revenue Growth expectations improved, moving from 4.61% to 5.04% projected growth.
  • Net Profit Margin increased from 3.13% to 3.51%, supporting a stronger earnings outlook.
  • Future P/E ratio fell from 16.45x to 14.97x. This indicates a potentially more attractive valuation based on updated earnings estimates.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.