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Update shared on11 Sep 2025

Fair value Decreased 1.38%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$84.15
11.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
26 Sep
US$74.32
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1Y
-9.2%
7D
-2.2%

Timken’s fair value estimate was revised slightly lower as both the future P/E and consensus revenue growth forecasts remained effectively unchanged, resulting in a marginal decrease in the consensus price target from $83.95 to $82.79.


What's in the News


  • Lucian Boldea appointed CEO and Board member, bringing extensive industry experience from Honeywell and Eastman Chemical, succeeding interim CEO Richard G. Kyle.
  • Michael A. Discenza named CFO, leveraging 25 years of progressive financial leadership at Timken, replacing Philip D. Fracassa.
  • Completed repurchase of 8.5 million shares (11.64% of outstanding) for $617.37 million; recent tranche involved 343,418 shares for $22.43 million.
  • Company continues to pursue bolt-on M&A opportunities, with potential deals considered during CEO transition.
  • 2025 earnings guidance lowered to $3.90–$4.20 per share with anticipated revenue decline of 0.5%–2% versus 2024; company added to Russell 1000 Defensive and Russell 1000 Value-Defensive Indexes.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Timken

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from $83.95 to $82.79.
  • The Future P/E for Timken remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 15.60x to 15.38x.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Timken remained effectively unchanged, at 2.7% per annum.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.