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TGLS: Share Price Will Likely Outperform As Buybacks Support Multi Year Backlog

Analysts Lower Tecnoglass Price Target Amid Short Report and Updated Revenue Forecast

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TGLS
AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 09 Sep 2024

Update shared on 19 Dec 2025

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-5.1%

Narrative Update on Tecnoglass

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Tecnoglass at approximately $74.00 per share. This reflects unchanged expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation multiples, despite only immaterial tweaks to underlying model assumptions.

What's in the News

  • Expanded share repurchase authorization to $150 million, indicating continued confidence in the capital return strategy (company announcement)
  • Updated 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $970 million to $990 million, which implies roughly 10% growth at the midpoint (company guidance)
  • Outlined expectations for sustaining double digit revenue growth into 2026, supported by an expanding multi year backlog and market share gains (company guidance)
  • Repurchased an additional 417,602 shares between July 1 and September 30, 2025, bringing total buybacks under the November 3, 2022 program to 1,598,005 shares, or 3.38% of shares outstanding, for $68.98 million (company filing)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate: unchanged at approximately $74.00 per share, indicating no material reassessment of intrinsic value.
  • Discount Rate: risen slightly from about 11.58% to 11.58%, a negligible change with no meaningful impact on valuation.
  • Revenue Growth: effectively unchanged at roughly 6.46%, suggesting stable expectations for long term top line expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin: essentially flat at about 18.38%, reflecting consistent assumptions for long term profitability.
  • Future P/E: marginally higher from approximately 21.33x to 21.33x, indicating a virtually unchanged view of the appropriate earnings multiple.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.