Update shared on 05 Dec 2025
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Stanley Black & Decker to approximately $85.30 per share from about $85.30, reflecting slightly lower perceived risk and a marginal improvement in long term earnings visibility.
What's in the News
- Issued new 2025 guidance calling for flat to down 1% total sales versus 2024, with organic revenue expected to decline at a similar rate and price gains largely offset by volume weakness (company guidance).
- Updated 2025 GAAP EPS outlook to a range of $2.55 to $2.70 per share, reflecting the impact of a $169 million pretax noncash asset impairment charge recorded in the third quarter (company guidance).
- Exited the FTSE All World Index in U.S. dollar terms, potentially reducing passive index fund ownership and trading liquidity (index provider announcement).
- Reported no share repurchases between June 29, 2025 and September 27, 2025 under its April 28, 2022 buyback authorization, leaving total buybacks at zero shares and zero dollars (company filing).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate: unchanged at approximately $85.30 per share, indicating no revision to the intrinsic value assessment.
- Discount Rate: fallen slightly from about 10.22% to roughly 10.01%, reflecting a modest reduction in perceived risk.
- Revenue Growth: effectively unchanged at around 5.17% annually, suggesting a stable outlook for top line expansion.
- Net Profit Margin: effectively unchanged at about 6.87%, indicating a steady view on long term profitability.
- Future P/E: edged down slightly from roughly 14.71x to about 14.62x, signaling a marginally lower valuation multiple on forward earnings.
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