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Update shared on30 Jul 2025

Fair value Decreased 47%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$11.93
40.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
15 Aug
US$16.74
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1Y
11.8%
7D
13.3%

A sharp reduction in Stem's consensus revenue growth forecast from 35.0% to 24.0% has led analysts to substantially lower their fair value estimate, as reflected in the decreased price target from $22.45 to $12.60.


What's in the News


  • Stem successfully deployed its advanced energy system at the Camino Solar project in California, enabling grid integration and optimizing clean energy delivery for 14,000 homes.
  • Brian Musfeldt was appointed Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Doran Hole, bringing extensive industry and M&A experience, including as former CFO of AlsoEnergy and ikeGPS.
  • The board approved and executed a 1-for-20 reverse stock split, reducing the number of authorized common shares from 500 million to 250 million, and adjusted equity plans and convertible instruments accordingly.
  • Norbut Solar Farms standardized on Stem's PowerTrack software to manage and scale its solar portfolio across New York, enhancing efficiency and compliance for over 525 MW deployed and 17 new projects planned.
  • Stem provided engineering advisory and design support to Green River Energy Center, contributing to a major clean power project for the Mountain West region, backed by over $1 billion in financing.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Stem

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has significantly fallen from $22.45 to $12.60.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Stem has significantly fallen from 35.0% per annum to 24.0% per annum.
  • The Future P/E for Stem has significantly fallen from 6.89x to 4.75x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.