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Update shared on09 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 1.23%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$114.95
8.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
09 Oct
US$105.55
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1Y
36.0%
7D
-3.0%

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Johnson Controls International to approximately $114.95 from $113.55, citing anticipated gains in data center demand and a favorable sector outlook.

Analyst Commentary

Recent updates from Wall Street reflect a cautiously optimistic sentiment toward Johnson Controls International. Analysts have revised price targets upward, pointing to both sector tailwinds and company-specific dynamics influencing their perspectives.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts highlight accelerating demand in the data center space, which is expected to support sustained revenue growth for Johnson Controls.
  • There is confidence in the company’s execution and its ability to benefit from favorable industry trends, particularly within industrial and conglomerate segments.
  • Recent valuation increases are viewed as justified, with expectations that future positive earnings revisions could drive further equity upside.
  • Several analysts anticipate that upcoming earnings reports will be solid, with the potential for management to slightly raise their 2025 outlooks.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Some market observers maintain a neutral stance, citing mixed demand trends in areas outside of data centers, which could temper overall growth momentum.
  • While price targets have been raised, not all analysts are convinced of significant near-term upside, suggesting the need for ongoing strong execution to meet elevated expectations.
  • There is concern that the valuation re-rating may already reflect much of the anticipated good news, possibly limiting the stock’s further appreciation until additional catalysts emerge.

What's in the News

  • Alpha Modus Corp. has filed new patent infringement lawsuits against Johnson Controls International in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Texas, alleging unauthorized use of patented AI-driven retail analytics technologies. This marks an escalation in legal battles around in-store analytics systems (Lawsuits & Legal Issues).
  • Johnson Controls and Everbridge, Inc. have announced an expanded collaboration to launch new managed Critical Event Management (CEM) services. The initiative will leverage AI-powered risk scoring and 24/7 support for resilience and risk reduction in enterprise environments (Client Announcements).
  • The board of directors increased Johnson Controls' quarterly dividend to $0.40 per share, marking a $0.03 increase. The company has maintained a record of dividend payments since 1887 (Dividend Increases).
  • Johnson Controls has introduced the Silent-Aire Coolant Distribution Unit platform, expanding data center thermal management capabilities to facilitate a transition to liquid cooling and improve energy efficiency for AI-powered data centers (Product-Related Announcements).
  • The company repurchased nearly 3.8 million shares in Q2 2025, bringing total buybacks to over 396 million shares since 2012. This represents more than half of all outstanding shares (Buyback Tranche Update).

Valuation Changes

  • The consensus analyst price target has risen slightly from $113.55 to approximately $114.95.
  • The discount rate edged up modestly from 9.08% to 9.10%.
  • The revenue growth estimate ticked down marginally from 5.09% to 5.09%.
  • The net profit margin decreased fractionally from 12.24% to 12.20%.
  • The future P/E multiple increased slightly from 28.0x to 28.4x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.