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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for GD

Update shared on 08 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 2.21%
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The analyst price target for General Dynamics has been raised from $337.94 to $345.41. This reflects optimism after strong Q2 results and improved order flow. However, analysts note ongoing defense portfolio challenges and Aero margin headwinds.

Analyst Commentary

Following General Dynamics' second quarter results, analysts have provided updated perspectives on the company's prospects. This is reflected in several price target increases and comments on both growth opportunities and ongoing challenges.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts are raising price targets across the board in response to robust Q2 performance and improving order flows, highlighting a potential acceleration in revenue growth.
  • Recent financial updates and modeling adjustments point to underlying momentum in the aerospace and defense sector, with General Dynamics considered a key beneficiary.
  • Improved budget trends are seen as supportive of longer-term defense portfolio growth, which could lead to positive inflection points in stock performance.
  • The company's ability to deliver strong operational execution, even amid sector challenges, is credited with increasing confidence in both valuation and future outlook.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts remain focused on ongoing headwinds within the defense portfolio, which could affect near- and medium-term visibility for the company.
  • Mix headwinds in the Aero segment are highlighted as a risk to margins, limiting the pace of profit growth despite higher revenues.
  • Analysts note that, while recent performance is strong, General Dynamics must continue to address legacy operational challenges to maintain positive momentum.
  • There is a view that only clear resolution of key issues will unlock the full upside potential reflected in higher price targets.

What's in the News

  • The Pentagon is calling on missile suppliers, including General Dynamics, to significantly boost missile production rates because of concerns about potential future conflicts with China (Wall Street Journal).
  • China is restricting the supply of critical minerals to Western defense firms, which is leading to delays and disruptions for manufacturers like General Dynamics (Wall Street Journal).
  • The Defense Secretary has ordered an urgent meeting of top U.S. military commanders at a Marine Corps base in Virginia, highlighting heightened defense sector activity (Washington Post).

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly, increasing from $337.94 to $345.41.
  • The Discount Rate has increased marginally from 7.87% to 7.90%.
  • The Revenue Growth expectation is up slightly, moving from 3.57% to 3.62%.
  • The Net Profit Margin has improved minimally, from 9.07% to 9.07%.
  • The Future Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio has risen from 21.03x to 21.47x.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.