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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for AMPX

Update shared on 08 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 13%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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428.9%
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Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Amprius Technologies from $13 to approximately $14.67 per share, citing improved financial outlooks and growing confidence in the company’s ability to scale its leading technology, deliver strong results, and support ongoing momentum through experienced leadership and new business developments.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst updates have reflected growing optimism regarding Amprius Technologies’ outlook, driven by strong execution, leadership enhancements, and key business developments. While most research points to positive momentum, analysts are also mindful of factors that could affect the company’s future performance.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Multiple analysts have significantly raised their price targets, citing robust financial results and the company’s ability to exceed expectations.
  • The recent appointment of a new CFO with a strong background is expected to strengthen the company’s financial leadership and help navigate anticipated rapid growth.
  • Amprius has demonstrated that its technology holds a leading position in the market and can be produced at scale. This supports higher valuation multiples compared to peers.
  • Recent contract manufacturing agreements and new business partnerships are expected to serve as ongoing catalysts for continued revenue growth and margin improvement.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Some analysts remain cautious regarding the pace and sustainability of Amprius’ expansion, especially given the challenges associated with scaling new technologies.
  • There are concerns about the competitive landscape and ongoing execution risks as the company ramps up production to meet rising demand.
  • Maintaining premium valuation levels will require continued outperformance and successful realization of anticipated growth catalysts.

What's in the News

  • Ricardo C. Rodriguez appointed as Chief Financial Officer, bringing over 20 years of leadership experience in finance and strategy across major technology and mobility companies. He succeeds Sandra Wallach, who will assist during the transition. (Key Developments)
  • Amprius Technologies added to the S&P Global BMI Index, marking a milestone in the company's growing market recognition. (Key Developments)
  • Secured a purchase order exceeding $35 million for SiCore battery cells from a leading Unmanned Aerial Systems manufacturer. This reflects increased adoption and scale of Amprius' high energy density technology. (Key Developments)
  • Nordic Wing selected Amprius' SiCore cells to power its ASTERO ISR drone, which doubles flight endurance and enhances mission capabilities for defense operations. (Key Developments)
  • Chosen for Amazon Devices Climate Tech Accelerator 2025 cohort, highlighting the impact and innovation potential of Amprius' battery platform in reducing carbon emissions across multiple industries. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has increased from $13.00 to approximately $14.67 per share, reflecting a higher analyst consensus on future potential.
  • The Discount Rate has risen slightly from 8.71% to 8.89%, suggesting a modest adjustment to perceived investment risk.
  • The Revenue Growth forecast remains virtually unchanged, holding steady at nearly 89.8%.
  • Profit Margin projections are stable at roughly 4.37%.
  • The Future P/E Ratio has climbed from 190.6x to 216.1x, indicating a higher valuation multiple applied to expected earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.