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Update shared on19 Sep 2025

Fair value Increased 1.16%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$174.64
2.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
19 Sep
US$179.33
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1Y
25.7%
7D
1.8%

Analysts raised their price targets for Allegion to $174.64, citing increased confidence in commercial demand and stable market conditions as non-residential activity recovers.


Analyst Commentary


  • Bullish analysts note reduced downside risk as the non-residential market in the Americas stabilizes and exits a recent soft patch.
  • Improved health indicators across Allegion’s key industry verticals signal stronger market conditions than the previous year.
  • Price targets were raised in response to better-than-expected performance and market normalization in core segments.
  • Upgrades reflect increased confidence in demand trends for Allegion's commercial and institutional products.
  • Forward-looking sentiment is underpinned by visible recovery in end-market fundamentals and improved macroeconomic outlook.

What's in the News


  • Allegion introduced Schlage L Series Motorized Latch Retraction mortise locks, targeting markets such as healthcare, education, and high-security applications, with features like ultra-quiet operation, multiple control options, retrofit compatibility, and a patent-pending adaptive motor.
  • Raised full-year 2025 guidance: reported revenue growth now expected between 6.5% to 7.5% (organic 3.5% to 4.5%); adjusted EPS raised to $8.00–$8.15.
  • Continued focus on acquisitions, exemplified by July additions Gatewise (SaaS gate entry for multifamily communities) aligned with the Zentra access solution strategy.
  • Repurchased 284,000 shares ($39.95 million) in Q2 2025, completing 9.3% buyback (8.3 million shares, $1.02 billion) since 2020 authorization.
  • Removed from the Russell 1000 Dynamic Index.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Allegion

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from $172.64 to $174.64.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Allegion has risen slightly from 7.1% per annum to 7.4% per annum.
  • The Discount Rate for Allegion remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 9.04% to 9.01%.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.