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Update shared on03 Sep 2025

Fair value Decreased 4.44%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$62.75
1.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
03 Sep
US$63.70
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1Y
50.0%
7D
5.8%

The modest reduction in Air Lease's analyst price target is primarily driven by a lower future P/E multiple, with the fair value falling from $65.67 to $62.75.


What's in the News


  • Sumitomo Corporation, Apollo, Brookfield, and SMBC Aviation Capital agreed to acquire Air Lease for $7.4 billion, with shareholders to receive $65.00 per share in cash; the deal is expected to close in the first half of 2026, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals.
  • The transaction includes $12.1 billion in committed financing and provisions for mutual termination fees ($225 million by Air Lease; $350 million by buyers in certain regulatory-related terminations).
  • Upon closing, Air Lease will be renamed Sumisho Air Lease.
  • Air Lease delivered two additional new Airbus A321-200neo aircraft to China Airlines under long-term leases, supporting China Airlines' fleet expansion and modernization strategy.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Air Lease

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen slightly from $65.67 to $62.75.
  • The Future P/E for Air Lease has fallen slightly from 17.29x to 16.53x.
  • The Discount Rate for Air Lease remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 8.99% to 9.00%.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.