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Update shared on08 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 2.02%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$50.13
27.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
08 Oct
US$63.76
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Analysts have modestly raised Symbotic's fair value estimate from $49.13 to $50.13 per share. They cite positive developments in system efficiency and new deployment rollouts, despite some concerns about valuation and growth pace.

Analyst Commentary

Recent Street research demonstrates a wide range of perspectives on Symbotic's valuation, growth strategy, and prospects. This has resulted in both positive and cautious commentary from analysts.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts have increased price targets, highlighting Symbotic's improved system efficiency and successful rollout of new modular designs.
  • Faster anticipated revenue growth between 2027 and 2030 is seen as a key driver for an upward revision in valuation.
  • Symbotic's ability to deliver upside in recent quarterly results and maintain strong performance relative to other industrial automation peers is viewed positively.
  • Despite heightened valuation, analysts continue to regard Symbotic as a preferred name in the robotics sector. This reflects confidence in its multi-year growth trajectory.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts express concerns about the company's high valuation, suggesting prices may have moved ahead of fundamental progress.
  • Slower than expected pace of customer expansion and reliance on a major customer are seen as limiting near-term upside.
  • Questions remain regarding customer payback periods for high system costs and whether recent growth rates are sustainable.
  • Some anticipate headwinds in deployments as customers await the transition to next-generation systems. Cautious guidance is expected for early 2025 performance.

What's in the News

  • Symbotic will fully roll out Nyobolt battery technology in SymBot mobile robots beginning September 2025, offering six times more energy capacity, 40% less weight, and 10 times the cycle life of traditional lithium-ion batteries. The upgrade will be compatible with existing robots and infrastructure, boosting operational efficiency. (Key Developments)
  • The SEC has concluded its investigation into Symbotic as of August 2025 and no enforcement action is recommended in relation to the Company's 2024 revenue restatement and other matters. (Key Developments)
  • Symbotic has provided guidance for Q4 fiscal 2025 and forecasts revenue between $590 million and $610 million. (Key Developments)
  • The commercial launch of next-generation storage technology promises up to a 40% reduction in storage footprint, faster case handling, modular configurations, integrated fire suppression, and structural upgrades for seismic adaptability. Rapid deployment is expected to cut on-site assembly parts by over 90%. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly, up from $49.13 to $50.13 per share. This change reflects a modest reassessment of Symbotic's intrinsic worth.
  • The Discount Rate has increased marginally, moving from 7.94% to 8.01%.
  • Revenue Growth projections have edged higher, climbing from 22.97% to 22.98%.
  • The Net Profit Margin has fallen slightly, decreasing from 8.55% to 8.27%.
  • The Future Price/Earnings (P/E) Ratio has moved upward, from 22.52x to 23.79x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.