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ATRO: New Contract Wins And Market Share Gains Will Drive Substantial Share Upside

Update shared on 29 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 3.43%
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Astronics' analyst price target has been raised from $60.67 to $62.75, reflecting increased conviction among analysts. This change is based on forecasts for strong revenue growth and margin expansion, supported by recent industry research coverage and favorable market dynamics.

Analyst Commentary

Recent research coverage underscores a broadly positive sentiment on Astronics, with analysts highlighting opportunities for growth and solidifying its leadership position in the aircraft in-seat power systems market. However, some caution remains regarding industry-specific headwinds and long-term execution risks.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts expect Astronics to deliver strong double-digit earnings growth, forecasting 30% growth in 2026 and meaningful additional gains in the following year.
  • Analysts emphasize Astronics' leadership in its market niche and note amplified revenue prospects due to robust demand for aircraft in-seat power systems.
  • There is optimism that current low investor awareness could increase, potentially paving the way for significant stock upside over the next several years.
  • New contract wins and steady aerospace sector demand are cited as key drivers of top-line expansion and incremental margin improvement.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts highlight continued supply chain challenges within the aerospace sector, which could pose risks to consistent revenue growth and profitability.
  • Concerns are raised about possible disruptions linked to government budget uncertainties, which may cloud the defense segment outlook for future periods.
  • While passenger travel demand remains a tailwind, there are notes of caution about overreliance on OEM production and aftermarket trends, which could temper upside if conditions shift.
  • Execution risks remain, particularly regarding the company's ability to consistently achieve and sustain accelerated growth rates while maintaining operational efficiency.

What's in the News

  • Astronics Corporation has issued new earnings guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, projecting fourth quarter sales between $225 and $235 million and forecasting total annual revenue in the $847 to $857 million range (Key Developments).
  • The company's forecasted annual revenue would establish a new record sales level. The midpoint of the guidance represents a 7.2% increase over 2024 sales (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has increased from $60.67 to $62.75, reflecting a modest upward revision in fair value expectations.
  • Discount Rate has declined slightly, moving from 7.95% to 7.90%. This suggests a marginal reduction in perceived risk.
  • Revenue Growth projections have risen from 7.6% to 8.8%. This indicates stronger expectations for sales expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin has improved from 20.1% to 21.2%. This points to forecasted margin gains.
  • Future P/E ratio has decreased from 13.23x to 12.53x. This reflects a lower valuation multiple amid improved financial outlook.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.