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ARRY: Turnaround Progress Will Drive Margin Recovery Despite Tariff and Policy Risks

Update shared on 27 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 2.64%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
40.9%
7D
5.5%

Analysts have raised their price target for Array Technologies from $10.61 to $10.89, citing the success of the company's turnaround plan and improvements in U.S. market positioning.

Analyst Commentary

Recent commentary from Street research reveals a mix of optimism about Array Technologies' turnaround progress, market opportunity, and future earnings potential, while also noting several challenges and risks to the outlook.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts are raising price targets based on the company's ongoing turnaround, citing strengthened positioning and operational improvement in the U.S. market.
  • Expectations for normalized EBITDA margins in the mid-to-high teens by 2026 are viewed as attainable. This outlook is supported by a growing backlog and a focus on quality customers.
  • Solid bookings performance, including a recent $500 million in orders at a robust book-to-bill ratio, signals sustained demand for Array Technologies products.
  • Recent coverage initiations with favorable ratings highlight optimism about management's execution on deleveraging, acquisition opportunities, and capturing industry growth over the next several years.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts are concerned about risks stemming from rising tariffs, particularly new import duties on materials from India and Mexico. These factors could challenge the company's fiscal 2025 margin targets.
  • Cautious commentary points to a mixed near-term earnings outlook, with weaker fourth-quarter EBITDA guidance tempering enthusiasm about recent bookings momentum.
  • There are doubts about the achievability of the company's stated margin goals given the evolving competitive and regulatory environment.

What's in the News

  • The White House is considering canceling an additional $12 billion in clean energy funding, which could impact major industry players including Array Technologies (Semafor).
  • Array Technologies has updated its earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2025, forecasting revenue in the range of $1.25 billion to $1.28 billion.
  • Array Technologies' DuraTrack and OmniTrack tracker systems have been verified by Intertek as fully compatible with 2,000-volt module-wired systems, highlighting the company's ability to support advanced solar technology standards.

Valuation Changes

  • The consensus analyst price target has risen slightly, increasing from $10.61 to $10.89 per share.
  • The discount rate has moved up marginally, changing from 11.02 percent to 11.11 percent.
  • The revenue growth forecast has improved, rising from 5.47 percent to 5.78 percent.
  • The net profit margin expectation has fallen, decreasing from 7.25 percent to 6.42 percent.
  • The future price/earnings ratio has increased noticeably, moving from 19.84x to 22.71x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.