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AMSC: Data Center Demand And Margin Gains Will Drive Future Upside

Update shared on 22 Nov 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-12.2%
7D
-5.4%

Analysts have revised American Superconductor's average price target downward from $63.00 to $55.00. They cite slightly lower revenue growth forecasts and modest order growth, though they continue to highlight emerging margin expansion drivers that support a more favorable outlook.

Analyst Commentary

Recent research notes provide insight into the evolving viewpoints of analysts regarding American Superconductor's fundamentals, execution, and valuation outlook.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts highlight that recent share price weakness has created a more attractive entry point, increasing the investment appeal in the current environment.
  • There is optimism regarding clearer medium-term drivers for EBITDA margin expansion, including improved operating leverage, even as topline expectations are moderated.
  • Strong performance on recent quarterly EPS, with margins expected to benefit from better control over selling, general, and administrative expenses, supports upward revisions to near-term earnings estimates.
  • Order backlog growth, particularly in semiconductors and new data center projects, is expected to help drive incremental revenue in upcoming quarters and enhance visibility into future growth potential.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts note that revenue growth forecasts have been trimmed due to lower expectations for grid-related demand and the uncertain timing of wind-related sales. This has led to more cautious topline projections over the next several years.
  • The outlook for the upcoming quarter remains modest, with guidance for revenue and EPS generally in line with or slightly below consensus, reflecting tempered expectations for short-term growth acceleration.
  • Recent share rallies, combined with mixed quarterly results, could limit near-term upside as investors reassess valuations following muted sales performance.
  • Longer-term EPS forecasts have been reduced to incorporate lower order growth assumptions, suggesting a more measured approach to future profit expansion.

What's in the News

  • American Superconductor issued earnings guidance for Q3 ending December 31, 2025, forecasting revenue between $65 million and $70 million (Key Developments).
  • The company expects net income to exceed $2 million, or $0.05 per share, for the quarter (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate remains unchanged at $63.00.
  • Discount Rate has declined slightly from 9.15% to 8.99%.
  • Revenue Growth Forecast has edged down from 12.53% to 12.36%.
  • Net Profit Margin Outlook has improved from 12.69% to 13.85%.
  • Future P/E Ratio has decreased from 93.6x to 85.7x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.