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Update shared on30 Aug 2025

Fair value Decreased 3.00%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$2.43
627.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
30 Aug
US$17.66
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1Y
-53.8%
7D
-16.3%

A slight decline in net profit margin and a modest increase in the future P/E ratio have led analysts to lower Lucid Group’s consensus price target from $2.50 to $2.43.


What's in the News


  • Lucid Group shareholders approved a reverse stock split at a special meeting on August 18, 2025, giving the board discretionary authority to effect the split at a later date (Key Developments).
  • Lucid and Uber, alongside Nuro, entered a vehicle production agreement for a minimum of 20,000 Lucid Gravity autonomous robotaxis to be deployed over six years, with Uber planning multi-hundred-million-dollar investments in Lucid and Nuro (Key Developments).
  • Lucid is advancing U.S.-centric battery supply chain initiatives, joining forces with mineral companies (e.g., Graphite One, RecycLiCo) through the newly formed MINAC collaborative to secure domestic sources of critical minerals and graphite for EV batteries (Key Developments).
  • Lucid revised its 2025 production outlook downward to 18,000-20,000 vehicles (from 20,000) and launched updates to the Lucid Air lineup, including access to Tesla's Supercharger network and enhanced range and ADAS features (Key Developments).
  • The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration’s halt on finalizing EV regulatory credits is hampering revenue streams for Lucid and Rivian, while Canadian tariff policy may retain duties on U.S. auto imports, potentially affecting Lucid’s cross-border sales (Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg).

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Lucid Group

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen slightly from $2.50 to $2.43.
  • The Net Profit Margin for Lucid Group has fallen from 5.41% to 5.12%.
  • The Future P/E for Lucid Group has risen slightly from 37.88x to 38.89x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.