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Update shared on14 Sep 2025

Fair value Decreased 4.27%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$23.25
15.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
14 Sep
US$19.72
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1Y
-47.8%
7D
1.7%

Lucid Group’s consensus analyst price target has been revised modestly downward from $24.28 to $23.25, a move driven entirely by the mechanical impact of its 1-for-10 reverse stock split, with no change in underlying fundamentals or analyst sentiment.


Analyst Commentary


  • Recent price target adjustments are almost entirely a mechanical response to Lucid Group’s 1-for-10 reverse stock split, effective September 2, which consolidated 3.07B outstanding shares into 307.3M.
  • The stock split aimed to increase the share price proportionately without changing the underlying company valuation or fundamentals.
  • Both bullish and bearish analysts maintained their current recommendations (Hold or Neutral) on Lucid post-adjustment, signaling continued caution.
  • No new company-specific operational improvements, financial results, or demand trends were cited as drivers of the price target changes.
  • The changes represent cosmetic revisions to reflect the new share count and higher nominal share price post-split, not a re-assessment of Lucid's business outlook.

What's in the News


  • Lucid Group (LCID) is facing intensified competition in the global electric vehicle market, with Xpeng planning to launch its mass-market "Mona" brand internationally and signaling potential M&A activity in the sector (CNBC).
  • Canada is expected to maintain tariffs on U.S. automobiles even as it drops other U.S. tariffs, which may impact automakers like Lucid Group in terms of cross-border trade and costs (Bloomberg).
  • The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration's halt on regulatory EV credits has delayed $100M in revenue for Rivian and also harmed Lucid, as both depend on these credits for additional income (Wall Street Journal).
  • Ongoing trade tensions and tariff policies between the U.S. and Canada continue to create an uncertain operating environment for automotive manufacturers, including Lucid Group (Bloomberg).
  • The Zero Emission Transportation Association has petitioned the U.S. Court of Appeals to intervene and reopen the regulatory credit market, a move that could benefit Lucid if successful (Wall Street Journal).

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Lucid Group

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen slightly from $24.28 to $23.25.
  • The Future P/E for Lucid Group has fallen from 39.26x to 37.13x.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Lucid Group remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 82.4% per annum to 83.3% per annum.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.