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SMWH: Long-Term Potential Will Improve After Resolution Of Profit Overstatement

Update shared on 06 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 0.56%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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Analysts have slightly raised their average price target for WH Smith to £8.13 from £8.09. This change is attributed to updated profit forecasts and recent shifts in buy and hold recommendations.

Analyst Commentary

Recent street research on WH Smith reveals a range of perspectives on the company's prospects, with several analysts updating their views on the business's valuation, growth execution, and outlook amid recent events.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts have raised their recommendations, signaling confidence that the underlying business fundamentals remain intact despite recent challenges.
  • The new price targets from some analysts reflect optimism that profit forecasts will recover, with upside potential if the company delivers on operational improvements.
  • The ongoing strength in WH Smith's growth platforms and international exposure continue to underpin positive sentiment on future returns.
  • Recent upgrades suggest that at current valuations, the risk-reward profile of the stock could be attractive for long-term investors.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts have expressed caution due to the company’s recent overstatement of trading profits, which introduces fresh uncertainty around the sustainability of earnings growth.
  • Significant cuts to price targets point to a less favorable medium-term outlook, as questions around execution and profitability linger.
  • The suspension of coverage by a major investment bank highlights a lack of confidence in the reliability of financial information provided by the company.
  • Overall, the combination of lower profit guidance and diminished clarity on future performance has led some analysts to adopt a more neutral or cautious stance.

What's in the News

  • Goldman Sachs suspended its rating on WH Smith because it does not have enough information after the company disclosed an overstatement of profit in its Periodicals segment.

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from £8.09 to £8.13, reflecting updated market expectations.
  • Discount Rate has increased modestly from 12.17% to 12.44%, indicating a minor uptick in perceived risk or cost of capital.
  • Revenue Growth remains negative, but the decline has lessened from -2.53% to -2.25%.
  • Net Profit Margin has fallen significantly from 7.81% to 5.52%, indicating margin pressure.
  • Future P/E has increased from 10.4x to 14.8x, pointing to higher projected valuations relative to expected earnings.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.