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BREE: Share Price Could Rebound As Resilient Operations Offset Market Risks

Update shared on 20 Nov 2025

Fair value Decreased 4.25%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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Narrative Update: Breedon Group Price Target Adjustment

Analysts have reduced their price target for Breedon Group from £4.10 to £3.60. This change reflects slightly lower forecasts for revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a higher projected discount rate.

Analyst Commentary

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts note that the company maintains a Neutral rating, which indicates a balanced risk-reward profile despite recent adjustments.
  • There is confidence in Breedon Group's ability to navigate current market conditions, and this is supported by resilient core operations.
  • Valuation remains supported by Breedon Group's established position in its sector and history of stable execution.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts express caution regarding reduced price targets, which reflect softer revenue growth and profit margin forecasts.
  • Concerns have been raised over the impact of a higher projected discount rate on future earnings and overall valuation.
  • Slower earnings momentum may impact near-term growth, leading to a more cautious outlook compared to previous estimates.

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has decreased from £5.01 to £4.80, reflecting a modest reduction in projected company value.
  • The Discount Rate has risen from 8.74% to 9.64%, indicating a higher perceived risk and return requirement for investors.
  • The Revenue Growth forecast has fallen slightly, now projected at 6.19% compared to the previous 6.52% estimate.
  • The Net Profit Margin expectation has eased from 7.73% to 7.54%.
  • The Future Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio has increased marginally, moving from 15.05x to 15.29x.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.