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SRC: Confirmed 2025 Earnings Guidance Will Support Upside Despite JV Setback

SRC: Earnings Guidance Will Strengthen With Improved Profit Margins This Year

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SRC
AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 17 May 2025

Update shared on 12 Dec 2025

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Analysts have modestly reaffirmed their outlook on SigmaRoc with an unchanged price target of £1.47, citing stable assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples that together support a steady fair value assessment.

What's in the News

  • SigmaRoc reiterated earnings guidance for 2025, stating full year EPS is expected to be no less than 9.5 pence. This underscores management confidence in near term performance (Key Developments).
  • The company reported that partner ArcelorMittal plans to step back from the AMeLi joint venture for three net zero CO2 lime kilns in Dunkirk due to concerns over permitting and project timing (Key Developments).
  • SigmaRoc indicated that its financial exposure to the AMeLi JV has so far been minimal and confirmed that the change is not expected to affect near term forecasts, medium term targets or its stated CO2 reduction ambitions (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: Unchanged at £1.47 per share, indicating no revision to the headline valuation outcome.
  • Discount Rate: Fallen slightly from 9.39 percent to 9.37 percent, reflecting a marginally lower assumed cost of capital.
  • Revenue Growth: Effectively unchanged, remaining at approximately 4.65 percent, with only immaterial rounding differences.
  • Net Profit Margin: Stable at around 13.52 percent, with no meaningful adjustment to long term profitability assumptions.
  • Future P/E: Edged down marginally from 13.53x to 13.52x, implying a slightly lower valuation multiple applied to future earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.