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Update shared on16 Sep 2025

Fair value Increased 2.54%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
UK£4.40
0.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
16 Sep
UK£4.40
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1Y
19.4%
7D
1.0%

Tesco’s analyst price target has been raised from £4.29 to £4.40 as analysts express increased confidence driven by stronger earnings forecasts, anticipated positive catalysts, and sustained operational momentum.


Analyst Commentary


  • Bullish analysts are anticipating strong upcoming earnings, with first half and full year estimates raised significantly, placing forecasts comfortably above current guidance.
  • Positive catalysts are expected, prompting high conviction among analysts that upcoming results will surpass previous expectations.
  • Upward adjustments to medium- and long-term forecasts (FY26 and FY27+) reflect increased confidence in Tesco's earnings trajectory and business momentum.
  • Revisions to price targets factor in both improved operational performance and robust sales outlook, supporting premium valuations for the shares.
  • Recent analyst activity highlights a consistent trend of price target increases and Overweight ratings from major firms, indicating broad optimism on Tesco’s future performance.

What's in the News


  • Tractor Supply is expanding its final-mile delivery capabilities to fuel digital and business-to-business sales growth, focusing on rural markets by hiring drivers and renting vehicles, targeting improved delivery of bulky items (The Wall Street Journal).

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Tesco

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from £4.29 to £4.40.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Tesco has risen from 2.8% per annum to 3.0% per annum.
  • The Future P/E for Tesco has risen slightly from 16.80x to 17.50x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.