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LLOY: Future Performance Will Balance Buyback Progress and Shifting Market Expectations

Update shared on 20 Nov 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
58.9%
7D
-7.1%

Lloyds Banking Group’s analyst price target remains steady, as analysts see only minor changes in underlying discount rate and valuation assumptions. This has resulted in no significant adjustment to the fair value estimate.

What's in the News

  • Lloyds Banking Group completed the repurchase of a total of 1.8 billion shares, representing 2.98 percent of outstanding shares for £1.4 billion, as part of the buyback program announced in February 2025.
  • The company raised its earnings guidance for the fiscal year 2025 and now expects net interest income to be approximately GBP 13.6 billion, which is slightly ahead of earlier forecasts.
  • Lloyds is considering ending its wealth management partnership with Schroders and taking full control of Schroders Personal Wealth. The goal is to expand its wealth services for affluent customers.
  • Lloyds became the first UK financial services benefactor of MITRE ATT&CK by strengthening its cyber defense strategy and leveraging the popular open-source threat intelligence framework.

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate remains unchanged at 0.94, indicating analysts see stability in the company’s valuation basis.
  • Discount Rate has risen slightly from 8.21 percent to 8.45 percent. This reflects minor adjustments in the risk assessment.
  • Revenue Growth Forecast is stable at 8.43 percent, signaling no meaningful change in expectations for future income growth.
  • Net Profit Margin remains virtually flat at 28.07 percent. This suggests continued operational efficiency in profit generation.
  • Future P/E Ratio has increased moderately from 9.86x to 10.45x, implying a mild shift in market expectations of future earnings.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.