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Update shared on11 Aug 2025

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kapirey's Fair Value
€19.38
33.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
11 Aug
€12.90
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1Y
21.5%
7D
-2.7%

Summary of MERLIN Properties’ H1 2025 results:

🏢 Operational Performance

  • Organic rental growth: +3.4% Like-for-Like (LfL).
  • High occupancy: 95.4% overall.
    • Offices: 94.2% (+3.9% LfL).
    • Logistics: 96.2% (+2.2% LfL).
    • Shopping centers: 96.5% (+3.2% LfL).

💰 Financial Results

  • Total revenues: €275.3M (+8.5% YoY).
  • FFO (Funds From Operations): €166.6M (+12.8% YoY).
  • IFRS net profit: €512.9M (+286.3% YoY).
  • Liquidity: €1.6B.
  • LTV (Loan-to-Value): 28.6%, with no debt maturities until November 2026.
  • Debt rating: S&P BBB+ reaffirmed.

🏗️ Value Creation

  • Asset revaluation: +3.2% GAV LfL, driven by data centers.
  • Total shareholder return: +6.6% TSR.
  • Non-strategic disposals: €183.2M, sold at a premium to GAV.
  • Key pre-lettings:
    • Data centers: 39 MW IT in Barcelona and Bilbao.
    • Offices: 41k m².
    • Logistics: 73k m² + 55k m² turnkey project.
    • Shopping centers: Marineda expansion (25k m², 92.9% pre-let).

🌐 Digital Infrastructure Plan (MEGA)

  • Phase I: 64 MW IT, 100% leased, stabilized GRI of €92M by 2027.
  • Phase II: 246 MW IT, expected GRI of €379M by 2029.
  • Phase III (Upsizing): 426 MW IT under development.
  • Total pipeline: 2.2 GW.
  • Participation in EU initiative for AI Gigafactories.

🔮 Outlook

  • 2025 FFO guidance: ~€0.56 per share.
  • 2025 dividend guidance: ~€0.42 per share.
  • Strong momentum in Madrid offices, offsetting weakness in Barcelona.
  • Continued development and leasing of logistics, office, and data center assets

Disclaimer

The user kapirey has a position in BME:MRL. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.