Loading...
Back to narrative

Eneabba And Balranald Projects Will Shape Supply Despite Cost Pressures

Update shared on 17 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 6.61%
n/a
n/a
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
n/a
Loading
1Y
8.4%
7D
-8.7%

Analysts have raised their price target for Iluka Resources from A$6.67 to A$7.11. They cite improved confidence in project ramp-up and stronger profit margins, despite slightly tempered revenue growth expectations.

Analyst Commentary

Analyst perspectives on Iluka Resources reflect both optimism regarding operational progress and caution over utilization and valuation factors. The recent price target adjustments highlight the nuanced outlook among market watchers.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts point to growing confidence in the successful commissioning and ramp-up of new projects. These are viewed as positive signals for operational execution.
  • Improved profit margins are seen as a meaningful contributor to earnings quality and overall company valuation.
  • Recent site visits have reinforced sentiment that the company is making tangible progress on its strategic initiatives near Perth.
  • Incremental price target increases reflect underlying resilience in the company's financial outlook, even as expectations for top-line growth are tempered.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts remain cautious about asset utilization and note risks that facilities may not operate at full intended capacity in the near term.
  • Concerns persist about whether improved margins can be sustained if revenue growth continues to moderate.
  • Some recent recommendations have shifted to a more neutral stance, highlighting a preference to wait for further evidence of consistent execution before turning more positive.
  • The upgrade in price targets is viewed as incremental rather than transformative. Valuation is seen as fair relative to current risk factors.

What's in the News

  • Iluka Resources Limited announced an ordinary fully paid dividend of AUD 0.020 per security for the six months ended June 30, 2025. The record date is September 3, 2025, the ex-date is September 2, 2025, and the payment date is September 25, 2025. (Company Announcement)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from A$6.67 to A$7.11. This reflects a modest increase in fair value estimates.
  • The discount rate has decreased slightly to 7.49 percent from 7.55 percent, indicating a marginal improvement in perceived risk.
  • Revenue growth expectations have been revised downward to 16.67 percent from 17.25 percent.
  • Net profit margin has improved and is now estimated at 10.12 percent, up from 9.24 percent.
  • The future P/E ratio is now projected at 21.12x, representing a slight decrease from the previous 21.42x estimate.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.