A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALSEA)
May 07
Mexican (IPC) Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis
UpdatedMay 18, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies19
- 7D-0.6%
- 3M8.7%
- 1Y24.5%
- YTD15.8%
Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has remained flat, although notably Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos. de gained 21%. The past year has been better, since the industry has gained 24% in that time. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 11% annually.
Sector Valuation and Performance
Has the Mexican Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 18 May 2024 | Mex$352.5b | Mex$459.8b | Mex$27.7b | 14.5x | 12.7x | 0.8x |
| Mon, 15 Apr 2024 | Mex$366.7b | Mex$503.9b | Mex$28.6b | 12.4x | 12.8x | 0.7x |
| Wed, 13 Mar 2024 | Mex$363.0b | Mex$513.0b | Mex$28.5b | 12.5x | 12.8x | 0.7x |
| Fri, 09 Feb 2024 | Mex$339.3b | Mex$510.1b | Mex$28.7b | 16x | 11.8x | 0.7x |
| Sun, 07 Jan 2024 | Mex$390.4b | Mex$579.7b | Mex$33.2b | 14.8x | 11.8x | 0.7x |
| Tue, 05 Dec 2023 | Mex$368.7b | Mex$583.0b | Mex$33.2b | 13.7x | 11.1x | 0.6x |
| Thu, 02 Nov 2023 | Mex$358.9b | Mex$584.5b | Mex$33.2b | 14.9x | 10.8x | 0.6x |
| Sat, 30 Sep 2023 | Mex$365.8b | Mex$589.0b | Mex$31.4b | 14x | 11.7x | 0.6x |
| Mon, 28 Aug 2023 | Mex$363.0b | Mex$584.4b | Mex$31.3b | 12.3x | 11.6x | 0.6x |
| Wed, 26 Jul 2023 | Mex$377.6b | Mex$582.8b | Mex$31.0b | 13.4x | 12.2x | 0.6x |
| Fri, 23 Jun 2023 | Mex$378.9b | Mex$570.4b | Mex$30.0b | 16x | 12.6x | 0.7x |
| Sun, 21 May 2023 | Mex$370.9b | Mex$574.8b | Mex$30.5b | 16.1x | 12.2x | 0.6x |
| Tue, 18 Apr 2023 | Mex$375.1b | Mex$559.0b | Mex$30.3b | 15x | 12.4x | 0.7x |
| Thu, 16 Mar 2023 | Mex$346.8b | Mex$527.1b | Mex$28.3b | 15.4x | 12.3x | 0.7x |
| Sat, 11 Feb 2023 | Mex$363.3b | Mex$507.7b | Mex$27.2b | 16x | 13.3x | 0.7x |
| Mon, 09 Jan 2023 | Mex$363.0b | Mex$508.2b | Mex$27.3b | 16.6x | 13.3x | 0.7x |
| Wed, 07 Dec 2022 | Mex$348.9b | Mex$509.0b | Mex$27.3b | 16.2x | 12.8x | 0.7x |
| Fri, 04 Nov 2022 | Mex$327.5b | Mex$504.5b | Mex$27.1b | 15.6x | 12.1x | 0.6x |
| Sun, 02 Oct 2022 | Mex$309.8b | Mex$484.9b | Mex$24.6b | 16.9x | 12.6x | 0.6x |
| Tue, 30 Aug 2022 | Mex$315.0b | Mex$484.9b | Mex$24.6b | 16.9x | 12.8x | 0.6x |
| Thu, 28 Jul 2022 | Mex$320.8b | Mex$469.4b | Mex$22.2b | 18.3x | 14.4x | 0.7x |
| Sat, 25 Jun 2022 | Mex$287.5b | Mex$417.8b | Mex$20.7b | 18.8x | 13.9x | 0.7x |
| Mon, 23 May 2022 | Mex$322.1b | Mex$454.9b | Mex$22.4b | 15.1x | 14.4x | 0.7x |
| Wed, 20 Apr 2022 | Mex$329.7b | Mex$433.5b | Mex$17.9b | 19.6x | 18.4x | 0.8x |
| Fri, 18 Mar 2022 | Mex$331.0b | Mex$441.4b | Mex$18.0b | 18.9x | 18.4x | 0.7x |
| Sun, 13 Feb 2022 | Mex$311.9b | Mex$409.7b | Mex$13.8b | 16.2x | 22.6x | 0.8x |
| Tue, 11 Jan 2022 | Mex$307.4b | Mex$406.5b | Mex$12.8b | 16.9x | 24.1x | 0.8x |
| Thu, 09 Dec 2021 | Mex$301.2b | Mex$406.9b | Mex$11.7b | 17.3x | 25.7x | 0.7x |
| Sat, 06 Nov 2021 | Mex$311.7b | Mex$476.4b | Mex$2.0b | 17.6x | 158.6x | 0.7x |
| Mon, 04 Oct 2021 | Mex$312.4b | Mex$458.6b | Mex$9.1b | 15.4x | 34.4x | 0.7x |
| Wed, 01 Sep 2021 | Mex$304.7b | Mex$392.1b | Mex$10.0b | 16.2x | 30.5x | 0.8x |
| Thu, 08 Jul 2021 | Mex$291.2b | Mex$392.1b | Mex$10.0b | 15.7x | 29.2x | 0.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
-40.5x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are pessimistic on the Mexican Consumer Discretionary industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 12.7x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 15.5x.
- The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 0.69x.
Past Earnings Growth
- Total earnings for the Consumer Discretionary industry have gone up over the last three years, and the industry is now profitable. Revenues have grown 12% per year.
- This means that more sales are being generated by the industry overall, and subsequently profits are increasing too.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the Mexican Consumer Discretionary sector?
| MX Market | -0.52% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | -0.58% | |
| Consumer Durables | 0.53% | |
| Auto Components | 0.099% | |
| Auto | 0% | |
| Leisure | 0% | |
| Luxury | 0% | |
| Consumer Services | 0% | |
| Retail Distributors | 0% | |
| Online Retail and Ecommerce | 0% | |
| Specialty Stores | 0% | |
| Hospitality | -0.22% | |
| General Merchandise and Department Stores | -0.97% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Auto Components industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 17.6x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 38.8%, which is higher than its past year's earnings growth of 21.7% per year.
- Investors are most pessimistic about the General Merchandise and Department Stores industry, although it looks like investor sentiment has improved given that it's trading above its 3-year average of 4.6x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Auto Components industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 39% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings growth rate of 22% per year.
- In contrast, the General Merchandise and Department Stores industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 5.6% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| URBI * Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos. de | Mex$109.24 | 21.4% +Mex$223.4m | 1,460.6% | PE20.9x | |
| AGUILAS CPO Ollamani | Mex$39.52 | 3.8% +Mex$171.9m | n/a | n/a | |
| SPORT S Grupo Sports World. de | Mex$4.69 | 5.4% +Mex$58.1m | 13.0% | PE19.7x | |
| GISSA A Grupo Industrial Saltillo. de | Mex$21.85 | 0.7% +Mex$46.0m | -29.2% | PS0.4x | |
| NEMAK A Nemak S. A. B. de C. V | Mex$3.04 | 0.3% +Mex$28.0m | -28.8% | PE12.6x |
