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PPL: Future Share Gains Will Be Driven By Expanding Data Center Demand

Update shared on 19 Nov 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
2.0%
7D
-2.8%

Analysts have increased their price target on PPL Corp. by $3 to $41, citing optimism for the utilities sector and expectations for continued outperformance because of sector growth trends and positive data center pipeline commentary.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst discussions around PPL Corp. highlight several key themes regarding its outlook, sector performance, and valuation drivers. The following summarizes primary takeaways from the latest Street research:

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts have continued to raise PPL's price target in light of robust sector growth and strong relative performance versus the S&P over recent months.
  • Positive momentum in the data center development pipeline is seen as a significant growth catalyst. Expectations are that data center interconnection demand will remain strong.
  • There is growing optimism around the long-term advantages of nuclear energy and its potential to boost regulated utilities' market positioning. This potential is currently underappreciated in the broader narrative.
  • Guidance surrounding large-scale renewables and residential solar remains broadly constructive, supporting the outlook for project execution and future earnings stability.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts have made minor reductions to price targets in the near term, citing sector-wide reevaluations and modest recalibration of growth expectations.
  • Uncertainty persists regarding the pace and logistics of new data center interconnections. Timing and capacity constraints present a potential risk for revenue realization.
  • The evolution of regulatory frameworks around renewables, as well as the pace of technology adoption, remains an area to watch and could affect execution and valuation.
  • Some cautious sentiment surrounds the sustainability of recent sector outperformance compared to broader equity markets. There is potential for relative underperformance if trends reverse.

What's in the News

  • PPL Corporation issued updated earnings guidance for 2025, narrowing its ongoing earnings forecast to a range of $1.78 to $1.84 per share. The midpoint is $1.81 per share (Company Guidance).
  • The company reaffirmed its long-term outlook and is projecting 6% to 8% annual EPS and dividend growth through at least 2028. Expected EPS growth is anticipated in the top half of that range (Company Guidance).

Valuation Changes

  • Discount Rate: Increased modestly from 6.87% to 7.04%, reflecting a slightly higher risk premium in updated models.
  • Revenue Growth: Decreased slightly from 4.43% to 4.21%. This indicates a minor reduction in forward growth expectations.
  • Net Profit Margin: Improved from 17.03% to 17.39%. This suggests expectations for stronger profitability.
  • Future P/E: Decreased from 21.59x to 20.96x. This implies a minor adjustment in anticipated valuation multiples.
  • Fair Value Estimate: Remains unchanged at $40.60 per share despite other metric fluctuations.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.