Update shared on 13 Nov 2025
Fair value Decreased 11%Analysts have revised their price target for Genie Energy down from $18.00 to $16.00, citing expectations of slower revenue growth and narrowing profit margins.
What's in the News
- The company completed the repurchase of 124,000 shares, totaling $2 million between July 1 and September 30, 2025, as part of a larger buyback program totaling 3,405,836 shares for $33.51 million (Buyback Tranche Update).
- Operational results for Q3 2025 showed Retail Customer Equivalents (RCEs) rose to 396, an increase of 4.2% compared to the previous year (Announcement of Operating Results).
- Electricity RCEs rose by 5.4% year-over-year for the third quarter, while natural gas RCEs saw a slight decrease of 0.7% (Announcement of Operating Results).
- Total meter count increased by 0.8% to 402, with electricity meters rising 1.5% and natural gas meters declining 1.6% compared to Q3 2024 (Announcement of Operating Results).
- Gross meter additions in the third quarter fell sharply by 54.7% year-over-year, from 104 to 47 (Announcement of Operating Results).
Valuation Changes
- The Fair Value Estimate has decreased from $18 to $16, indicating a lower assessed intrinsic value for Genie Energy shares.
- The Discount Rate has risen slightly from 6.78% to 6.96%, reflecting a modest increase in the perceived risk or required return.
- The Revenue Growth Projection has fallen significantly from 7.99% to 5.95% per year, suggesting tempered growth expectations.
- The Net Profit Margin estimate has declined from 4.79% to 3.08%, pointing to anticipated margin compression.
- The Future Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio has increased from 19.89x to 26.56x, implying the stock is valued at a higher multiple of forecasted earnings.
Disclaimer
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