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D: Earnings Guidance And Modest Buybacks Will Support Steady Future Returns

Revenue Trends And Renewables Are Expected To Support A Balanced Outlook

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AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 06 Aug 2024

Update shared on 10 Dec 2025

Fair value Decreased 0.10%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
8.1%
7D
-2.8%

Analysts have made a slight downward revision to their price target on Dominion Energy, trimming it by approximately $0.07 per share as they fine tune assumptions around long term revenue growth, profit margins and valuation multiples.

What's in the News

  • Dominion Energy reported that from July 1 to September 30, 2025, it repurchased no additional shares, but has completed a total buyback of 2,476,657 shares for $191.75 million under its November 6, 2020 authorization (Key Developments).
  • The company narrowed its 2025 operating earnings guidance range to $3.33 to $3.48 per share, keeping the midpoint at $3.40 per share and signaling expectations to be at or above that midpoint assuming normal weather for the rest of the year (Key Developments).
  • Dominion Energy reaffirmed its long term operating earnings per share growth target of 5% to 7% annually through 2029, based on the 2025 operating earnings per share midpoint of $3.30 excluding RNG 45Z income (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair value was trimmed slightly from 64.00 to 63.93 per share, reflecting a modest downward adjustment in the intrinsic valuation estimate.
  • The discount rate remained effectively unchanged at about 6.96 percent, indicating no material shift in the perceived risk profile or cost of capital.
  • Revenue growth was raised slightly from approximately 5.15 percent to 5.19 percent, signaling a marginally more optimistic view on long-term top-line expansion.
  • The net profit margin was nudged down slightly from about 19.77 percent to 19.74 percent, incorporating a small reduction in expected long-term profitability.
  • The future P/E was lowered marginally from roughly 18.51 times to 18.49 times, suggesting a very small decrease in the valuation multiple applied to forward earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.