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Update shared on17 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 23%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$135.00
30.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
17 Oct
US$93.22
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1Y
-30.1%
7D
-1.3%

Analysts have raised their price target for Matson from $110 to $135, citing improved profit margins and a slightly lower discount rate as key factors driving the upward revision.

What's in the News

  • Completed the repurchase of 860,000 shares from April to June 2025, representing 2.63 percent for $92.73 million, as part of a broader buyback totaling 12,529,044 shares since June 2021 (Key Developments).
  • Raised full-year 2025 earnings guidance, projecting Ocean Transportation operating income to be higher than prior guidance but moderately lower than last year's level. Logistics operating income is expected to be comparable to last year (Key Developments).
  • Issued new earnings guidance for the third quarter of 2025, anticipating Ocean Transportation income to be meaningfully lower than the previous year due to decreased freight rates and volumes. Logistics income is expected to remain steady year-over-year (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has increased from $110 to $135, reflecting a notable upward revision.
  • The Discount Rate decreased slightly from 7.30% to 7.28%, indicating a marginal reduction in the risk assessment.
  • The Revenue Growth projection fell further, from -0.70% to -1.43%, suggesting a slightly more negative outlook for top-line expansion.
  • The Net Profit Margin estimate improved from 7.85% to 8.23%, pointing to higher expected profitability.
  • The Future Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) has risen from 13.79x to 16.49x, reflecting higher anticipated valuation multiples.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.