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MATX: Share Buyback and Whale Protection Technology Will Drive Future Outperformance

Update shared on 15 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 6.67%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-33.1%
7D
-4.3%

Analysts have raised their price target for Matson from $135 to $144. They cite improved revenue growth projections and stronger profit margins as key factors in their revised outlook.

What's in the News

  • Matson repurchased 615,000 shares for $65.76 million between July and September 2025. This completes a total buyback of 13,144,044 shares under the program announced in June 2021 (Key Developments).
  • The company expects fourth quarter 2025 consolidated operating income to be about 30% lower than the previous year, with full-year interest income projected at approximately $32 million (Key Developments).
  • Matson announced an agreement with WhaleSpotter Corp. to deploy an AI-based whale detection system, becoming the first container shipping company to adopt this advanced marine protection technology. The system provides real-time alerts to crews, reducing whale strike risks, and has already undergone successful trials on Matson’s vessels (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has increased from $135 to $144, reflecting a higher assessment of Matson's intrinsic value.
  • Discount Rate has risen slightly, from 7.35% to 7.44%.
  • Revenue Growth outlook has shifted from a decline of 6.1% to slight positive growth at 0.26%.
  • Net Profit Margin has improved from 5.73% to 7.63%.
  • Future Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio estimate has fallen significantly, from 27.45x to 17.16x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.