Loading...
Back to narrative

Update shared on 29 Jul 2025

Fair value Increased 13%

Expedia Channel And Premium Seating Will Boost Operational Efficiency

n/a
n/a
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
n/a
Loading
1Y
-3.1%
7D
-4.6%

The consensus price target for Southwest Airlines has increased as stronger revenue growth forecasts more than offset the impact of a higher discount rate, lifting fair value estimates to $30.82.


What's in the News


  • Board authorizes new $2 billion share repurchase program; 72.97 million shares (12.6%) already repurchased for $2.36 billion under prior program.
  • Q2 2025 results show declines in passenger metrics and load factors year-over-year; load factor decreased to 78.5% from 82.6%.
  • Q3 2025 guidance anticipates unit revenues between -2% and +2% on flat capacity, with full-year 2025 EBIT projected at $600–$800 million.
  • Announced $8 million in impairment charges for Q2 2025.
  • Expanding network with new St. Thomas service (USVI) in early 2026, launch of assigned/premium seating, new fare bundles, and reconfigured fleet.
  • Entered discussions with China Airlines for interline partnership and expanded Icelandair partnership for additional transatlantic connections.
  • Opened expanded cargo facility and additional infrastructure at Denver International Airport to support growing operations.
  • Added to multiple Russell Growth Indexes, including Russell 1000, 3000, Midcap, and 3000E Growth.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Southwest Airlines

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from $28.39 to $30.82.
  • The Discount Rate for Southwest Airlines has significantly risen from 7.71% to 9.86%.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Southwest Airlines has significantly risen from 5.2% per annum to 6.0% per annum.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.