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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for DAL

Update shared on 18 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 1.83%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-7.9%
7D
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Delta Air Lines’ analyst price target has been revised upward from $70.46 to $71.75, as analysts point to recent earnings outperformance, raised guidance, and Delta’s structural advantages that support improved profitability.

Analyst Commentary

Recent commentary from Wall Street highlights a growing optimism among analysts regarding Delta Air Lines’ performance and prospects. The company has seen significant upward price target revisions and improved ratings, driven by both robust recent results and confidence in its strategic direction.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts are raising price targets following Delta’s better-than-expected Q3 earnings and an encouraging Q4 outlook, suggesting continued earnings growth ahead.
  • Delta’s unique structural advantages compared to legacy peers are seen as key drivers for sustained margin expansion and profitability.
  • There is a positive view on Delta’s ability to capitalize on premium revenue opportunities, particularly given ongoing strength in domestic main cabin and premium segments.
  • Industry-wide changes, such as technology-driven product differentiation, are expected to benefit Delta and may place it among those best positioned to outperform in the evolving airline landscape.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts maintain some caution regarding the uncertain scope of domestic demand inflection, noting that sector-wide benefits may not be uniform and could present risks if broader industry conditions deteriorate.
  • While analysts see upside, some warn that sustained outperformance depends on Delta executing on its long-term strategy and maintaining its operational advantages, especially as competitors adapt.
  • Concerns persist about the challenging profitability outlook for weaker industry participants, which may raise the bar for Delta to consistently exceed consensus estimates over the next several years.

What's in the News

  • Delta and Aeromexico have sued the U.S. government over an order to dissolve their joint venture for flights between the U.S. and Mexico. The airlines are challenging the Transportation Department's directive in federal court (Reuters).
  • Delta is replacing power units on over 300 Airbus aircraft to address recent incidents of toxic fume leaks. The company aims to improve safety for passengers and crew (Wall Street Journal).
  • A Delta Air Lines pilot was arrested at San Francisco International Airport after landing, on charges related to child sex abuse materials (New York Times).
  • The FAA, amid a government shutdown and staffing shortages, has delayed thousands of flights at major airports for a third day. This has affected Delta and other major carriers (Reuters).
  • Delta has agreed to pay $78.75 million to settle a class action lawsuit related to a 2020 emergency fuel dump over Los Angeles and Orange counties, though the company denies wrongdoing (Reuters).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus analyst price target has risen slightly, increasing from $70.46 to $71.75 per share.
  • Discount rate has fallen marginally from 9.65% to 9.55%.
  • Revenue growth forecast has edged lower, moving from 3.58% to 3.37%.
  • Net profit margin projection has improved, rising from 6.92% to 7.30%.
  • Future P/E ratio estimate has declined from 13.08x to 12.48x, indicating a slightly more attractive valuation.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.