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CPA: Expanding Capacity And Growing Passenger Demand Will Drive Share Price Higher

Update shared on 28 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 0.43%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
31.9%
7D
-1.3%

Analysts have increased their price target for Copa Holdings slightly from $156.47 to $157.13. This reflects optimism around improved revenue growth forecasts, despite a minor rise in the discount rate and a slight reduction in profit margin projections.

What's in the News

  • Copa Holdings reaffirmed its operating guidance for the full year 2025 and provided new guidance for 2026, anticipating capacity growth of approximately 8% for 2025 and projecting 11% to 13% growth in 2026 (Corporate Guidance).
  • The company reported strong consolidated operating results for the third quarter of 2025, with 3,806,000 revenue passengers carried, up from 3,449,000 a year ago. The load factor increased from 86.2% to 88.0% (Operating Results).
  • Preliminary traffic results for October 2025 showed a 9.6% year-over-year increase in available seat miles (ASM) and a load factor of 87.2% (Operating Results).
  • Copa Holdings held an Analyst/Investor Day to engage with stakeholders on recent developments and strategy (Analyst/Investor Day).
  • Preliminary results for August and September 2025 also indicated consistent gains in ASM and load factor compared to the previous year (Operating Results).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from $156.47 to $157.13.
  • Discount Rate increased marginally from 12.40% to 12.47%.
  • Revenue Growth forecast moved up from 8.44% to 9.20%.
  • Net Profit Margin decreased modestly from 19.33% to 18.91%.
  • Future P/E ratio climbed from 10.12x to 10.54x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.