Update shared on 04 Nov 2025
Fair value Increased 12%Ultra Clean Holdings’ analyst price target has increased from $31.25 to $35.00, as analysts cite improved earnings, stronger profit margins, and normalized inventories that support the company's outlook.
Analyst Commentary
Recent analyst commentary reflects a predominantly positive outlook on Ultra Clean Holdings, citing a range of financial and operational developments influencing the company's valuation and growth prospects. While optimism prevails, analysts also note areas that may warrant ongoing attention for investors.
Bullish Takeaways
- Bullish analysts highlight the company's recent earnings beat in the most recent quarter as a strong indicator of robust execution.
- Profitability is improving, with gross margins experiencing meaningful expansion. This is in part due to increased volumes from key customers.
- Normalized inventory levels at important customers are expected to support additional revenue gains, particularly if wafer fabrication equipment demand accelerates in an industry upcycle.
- The raised price targets reflect confidence in the company’s operational momentum and its potential to capitalize on sector growth trends.
Bearish Takeaways
- Bearish analysts remain cautious about the sustainability of current profitability levels, especially if end-market demand fails to accelerate as anticipated.
- There is concern that reliance on a limited number of major customers could pose risks if demand patterns shift.
- Potential for near-term volatility exists if broader semiconductor capital spending fluctuates or macroeconomic conditions deteriorate.
What's in the News
- Ultra Clean Holdings announces a share repurchase program of up to $150 million in common shares. The program is valid for three years (Key Developments).
- The Board of Directors authorizes a buyback plan on October 23, 2025 (Key Developments).
- James Xiao appointed as Chief Executive Officer effective September 2, 2025. He brings significant industry experience and a successful leadership record (Key Developments).
- Company issues earnings guidance for Q4 2025, expecting revenue between $480 million and $530 million, and GAAP diluted net income (loss) per share between $(0.11) and $0.09 (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- Consensus Analyst Price Target has increased from $31.25 to $35.00, reflecting a modest rise in projected fair value.
- Discount Rate remains unchanged at 12.32%, indicating stable risk assumptions in the updated analysis.
- Revenue Growth expectations have risen from 7.85% to 10.02%. This suggests analysts anticipate stronger topline expansion.
- Net Profit Margin has increased slightly from 2.41% to 2.86%, indicating an improved profitability outlook.
- Future P/E ratio has declined from 31.51x to 28.37x. This points to a less expensive valuation relative to future earnings expectations.
Disclaimer
AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
