Update shared on 14 Dec 2025
Fair value Increased 22%Analysts have raised their price target on NXP Semiconductors from approximately $174 to about $213 per share, citing sharply higher expected revenue growth and slightly stronger profit margins that more than offset a modestly higher discount rate and a marginally lower assumed future P/E multiple.
What's in the News
- Introduced a new Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy battery management chipset that embeds EIS directly in hardware to improve EV and energy storage safety, longevity, and performance, with full solution availability targeted for early 2026 (company announcement)
- New BMS chipset integrates three units: the BMA7418 cell sensing device, BMA6402 gateway, and BMA8420 battery junction box controller, enabling nanosecond-level synchronization and high-frequency battery monitoring without extra sensors (company announcement)
- Updated fourth quarter 2025 guidance, forecasting revenue of $3.2 billion to $3.4 billion, GAAP operating income of $878 million to $1.006 billion, and diluted GAAP EPS of $2.40 to $2.81 (company guidance)
- Completed a share repurchase tranche of 670,245 shares for $150 million, bringing total buybacks under the January 31, 2022 program to 10,645,664 shares, or 4.17 percent of shares, for $2.35 billion (company filing)
- Announced a multi-year collaboration with eInfochips, which will distribute software and provide support for NXP's S32 microcontroller and microprocessor families to help customers accelerate application development (company announcement)
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate has risen significantly from approximately $174.04 to about $212.84 per share.
- Discount Rate has increased slightly from about 10.00 percent to roughly 10.60 percent, reflecting a modestly higher required return.
- Revenue Growth assumption has risen sharply from roughly 1.54 percent to about 10.45 percent, indicating a much more optimistic top line outlook.
- Net Profit Margin expectation has edged up slightly from around 19.66 percent to about 19.89 percent.
- Future P/E multiple has ticked down modestly from about 22.20x to roughly 21.86x, signaling a slightly more conservative valuation multiple.
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